Monday, April 13, 2020

As my Dad used to say!

As my Dad used to say, there is a lot more people dying now than used too. Well I do not underplay the current COVOID19 issues that are reeking havoc around the world and it will no doubt continue for quite some time to come. The daily death count is morbid and fascinating at the time as statistics never tell the complete story. For every death in the family many other people suffer for  a long time after having lost a loved one and often the breadwinner so the death not only causes grief and loss but could put that person in financial difficulty as well.
I have been watching the daily figures issued by the UK and other Governments around the world and beginning to think that nobody dies of of the usual things any more end so I did a quick investigation to discover what the figures would like over the past few years
In 2017 the number of registered deaths in the UK was 607K or 11.6K per week whilst in 2018 the number of deaths was 616K or 11.8K per week. The number of daily deaths report for COVID19 is misleading and it is the day the death is registered rather than the day of death. See following chart for 8th April 2020 for reported deaths where the total is 818, however these also include deaths from March as well as other days in April
Table of the date of COVID19 828 deaths reported for the 8th April.
Date
Number of Deaths

07-April 2020     135
06-April 2020     306
05-April 2020     162
04-April 2020       93
03-April 2020      63
02- April 2020    23
01-April 2020     17
31-March 2020   1
04-March 2020   1
Total
828

The population of the UK is estimated to be 67 million people out of 7.8 Billion worldwide. The UK death count for COVID19 is as of 12 April 2020 10.5 K since commencement and recognition of the disease which started being noticed I think in early March and so since the first registered death in March it is now approximately  six weeks since that event and based on the usual death rate nearly 70000 people would have died anyway based on normal statistics. So on top, or is it, that another 10.5 K people have died so we have start worrying are the figures being misrepresented by people having the Covid19 virus but died actually died of the flu. In the winter of 2017/2018 over 50000 people died from flu, but did we close down the country?
In the USA there is a chance that figures are being manipulated by hospitals for purely financial reasons. It is alleged that MEDICARE would pay a hospital US$ 13K to deal with a case of FLU but call it it COVID19 and let them sit next to a ventilator the cost would be US$ 39 K and so there is a view that perhaps the figures are not entirely accurate. Already questions are being raised as to the professionalism of the Dr Fauci the senior specialist for the USA Government seeking for alleged political reasons to grow the matter , who knows whether this is true or not. Governments are known to control the country by using the ‘fear factor’ as was the conspiracy theories for the 9/11 attacks, scare the people and they will do what you say. An American Doctor reported on TV that it was alleged that a person knocked over by a bus with bad chest injuries and when arriving at the hospital was found to have the COVID bug was classed as a COVID death and not due to the accident, ow often does this happen.
We should take a close look at the German COVID reporting figures as they seem low by comparison to other countries worldwide, surely it cannot be just down to testing? there is a chance they are not the usual deaths from FLU.
So we have stayed at home and following the strict guidelines issued by the UK Government with neighbours attending to our shopping needs but also this is having an affect on our intended house sale and potential move with Solicitors furloughing staff and most working from home and so lets seen what happens this week as we hope to be informed of the Contract exchange dates although its most difficult to agree a Completion date with the the current UK Lock-down. Ah well lets hope this is just a distant memory next year at this time and also wish that the world economy pull through, we shall see.